Does “sell in May” work on ADA-USD?
Hold only from November through April and stay in cash for the summer months, on the old market adage.
Every rule on ADA-USD, ranked
| Strategy | CAGR | Total | Worst DD | In market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sell in May (hold Nov–Apr) ← this page | 40.80% | 1827% | -87.5% | 51% |
| 200-day moving average timing | 39.02% | 1374% | -79.7% | 40% |
| Golden cross (50/200) | 11.55% | 144% | -84.0% | 42% |
| Buy and hold — benchmark | 2.06% | 19% | -97.8% | 100% |
| Buy the dip (RSI < 30, hold 20d) | -31.02% | -96% | -96.6% | 50% |
8.7 years · 3,184 trading days · $0.032 → $0.162
How to read this
One asset over one window is a single data point, not a law. A rule that wins on ADA-USD may lose on the next ticker you try — which is exactly why the free tester exists: change the asset and see whether the edge survives. When it evaporates on a different market, it was fitted to this one.
Note the drawdown column as much as the return. Most timing rules earn less than holding but lose less in a crash, and whether that trade is worth it depends entirely on whether you would actually have held through the worst of it.
Method
Signals are read from the previous close and the next day's return is applied — no lookahead. Prices are dividend-adjusted so buy-and-hold is not handicapped. 0.05% cost per switch. No leverage, no shorting.
Test the same rule on something else
We test one strategy people swear by and publish whatever the data says — including when it says the strategy doesn't work. Free, no pitch.