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CRYPTO · STRATEGY TEST

Does buying the dip work on XRP-USD?

Buy when RSI drops below 30 — the textbook “oversold” signal — and hold for 20 trading days.

The rule came out ahead
20.89%
buying the dip per year
10.71%
Buy & hold per year
+10.18%
Difference
rule vs held, over 8.3 years
74%
Worst drawdown
holding fell 83%
Buying the dip came out ahead of holding XRP-USD over 8.3 years. Across the last 8.3 years of real prices, buying the dip made 10.18 percentage points a year more than simply buying and holding XRP (20.89% versus 10.71%).

Every rule on XRP-USD, ranked

Buy the dip (RSI < 30, hold 20d)20.89%
383% total · worst drawdown 73.5% · in market 46%
Sell in May (hold Nov–Apr)15.92%
241% total · worst drawdown 73.5% · in market 48%
Buy and hold · benchmark10.71%
133% total · worst drawdown 83.3% · in market 100%
Golden cross (50/200)-8.23%
-51% total · worst drawdown 92.1% · in market 43%
200-day moving average timing-8.41%
-52% total · worst drawdown 91.4% · in market 42%

the last 8.3 years · 3,034 trading days · $0.552 → $1.286

How to read this

One asset over one window is a single data point, not a law. A rule that comes out ahead on XRP-USD may trail holding on the next ticker you try — which is exactly why the free tester exists: change the asset and see whether the edge survives. When it evaporates on a different market, it was fitted to this one.

Note the drawdown column as much as the return. Most timing rules earn less than holding but fall less in a crash, and whether that trade is worth it depends entirely on whether you would actually have held through the worst of it.

Method

All strategies are measured from the same starting bar so the comparison is like-for-like. Signals are read from the previous close and the next day's return is applied — no lookahead. Prices are dividend-adjusted so buy-and-hold is not handicapped. 0.05% cost per switch. No leverage, no shorting.

Test the same rule on something else

SPYQQQDIAIWMAAPLMSFTNVDATSLAAMZNGOOGLMETANFLX
the 200-day moving average on XRP-USDthe golden cross on XRP-USD“sell in May and go away” on XRP-USD
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Vorrik Research publishes tests of publicly discussed trading strategies using public market data. Where a test was also run with our own money, the article says so. It is factual reporting of what happened in historical and past live tests — not investment advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Past results never predict future results.